Medifast Inc Stock Performance
| MED Stock | USD 11.36 0.53 4.89% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.17, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, MEDIFAST INC will likely underperform. At this point, MEDIFAST INC has a negative expected return of -0.0321%. Please make sure to verify MEDIFAST INC's skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if MEDIFAST INC performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days MEDIFAST INC has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, MEDIFAST INC is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 4.89 | Five Day Return 0.44 | Year To Date Return 9.23 | Ten Year Return (59.86) | All Time Return 106.55 |
Dividend Date 2023-11-07 | Ex Dividend Date 2023-09-18 |
1 | Acquisition by Jeffrey Brown of 3289 shares of MEDIFAST INC subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/12/2025 |
2 | EUROPES 50 BEST BARS, DEBUTERAR MED FOKUS P BARER VER HELA KONTINENTEN | 12/04/2025 |
3 | OPTAVIA Survey Reveals 80 percent of Americans Lack Understanding of Metabolic Health Despite Its Major Impact to Overall Health and Wellbeing | 12/09/2025 |
4 | Medifasts Third-Quarter Revenue Fell 36 percent Is Stabilization Near | 12/24/2025 |
5 | Hyphens Pharma outlicences Cerapro MED Skin Barrier Cream for six European countries | 01/05/2026 |
6 | OPTAVIA Premieres Second Docuseries Episode Health by Design Spain Exploring Metabolic Health and Longevity | 01/15/2026 |
7 | Bull Bear Is Medifast Inc stock a buy or sell - Portfolio Gains Report High Accuracy Buy Signal Tips - baoquankhu1.vn | 01/30/2026 |
8 | Medifast to Announce Financial Results for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year Ended December 31, 2025 | 02/03/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 94.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -26.5 M |
MEDIFAST INC Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,179 in MEDIFAST INC on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (43.00) from holding MEDIFAST INC or give up 3.65% of portfolio value over 90 days. MEDIFAST INC is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.3796% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than MEDIFAST, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
MEDIFAST INC Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of MEDIFAST Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 11.36 | 90 days | 11.36 | about 49.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MEDIFAST INC to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 49.2 (This MEDIFAST INC probability density function shows the probability of MEDIFAST Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
MEDIFAST INC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MEDIFAST INC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MEDIFAST INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MEDIFAST INC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MEDIFAST INC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MEDIFAST INC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MEDIFAST INC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MEDIFAST INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MEDIFAST INC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
MEDIFAST INC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MEDIFAST INC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MEDIFAST INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MEDIFAST INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Medifast to Announce Financial Results for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year Ended December 31, 2025 |
MEDIFAST INC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MEDIFAST Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MEDIFAST INC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MEDIFAST INC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 162.3 M |
MEDIFAST INC Fundamentals Growth
MEDIFAST Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MEDIFAST INC, and MEDIFAST INC fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MEDIFAST Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0012 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0152 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.0006 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.05) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | (36.39 M) | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 10.99 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 13.99 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.58 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.29 X | ||||
| Revenue | 602.46 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 311.27 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 15.59 M | ||||
| Net Income | 2.09 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 90.93 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 5.57 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 16.12 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.43 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.29 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 20.89 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 24.48 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.02 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 124.86 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 284.21 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 176.78 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 150.24 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 88.07 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 23.56 M | ||||
About MEDIFAST INC Performance
By analyzing MEDIFAST INC's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into MEDIFAST INC's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if MEDIFAST INC has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if MEDIFAST INC has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 112.81 | 107.17 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.01 | 0.01 |
Things to note about MEDIFAST INC performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about MEDIFAST INC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MEDIFAST INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MEDIFAST INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Medifast to Announce Financial Results for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year Ended December 31, 2025 |
- Analyzing MEDIFAST INC's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MEDIFAST INC's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining MEDIFAST INC's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating MEDIFAST INC's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MEDIFAST INC's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MEDIFAST INC's stock. These opinions can provide insight into MEDIFAST INC's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for MEDIFAST Stock analysis
When running MEDIFAST INC's price analysis, check to measure MEDIFAST INC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MEDIFAST INC is operating at the current time. Most of MEDIFAST INC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MEDIFAST INC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MEDIFAST INC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MEDIFAST INC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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